Personally, I don’t think Google Wave is going to revolutionise the world. Sure, Microsoft did manage to manipulate and monopolise the market 30-something years ago, but I don’t see Google doing that here. With 100,000 invitations criss-crossing the planet, maybe a further 900,000 humans will find a way to either catch a ride or jump on the band-wagon.
The new Google Wave communication tool is just that: A tool. For a lot of nerds, geeks, dweebs and IAA users, yeah, it will consolidate their online-chat-lives.
Created by two of the guys behind Google Maps with a small team in Sydney, the concept behind Google Wave is to “unify” communication on the web. It’s a hybrid of email, web chat, IM, and project management software. It features the ability to replay conversations because it records the entire sequence of communication, character by character. Because of this, discussions are also live in Google Wave: you will see your friends type character-by-character.
But will become their only means of communication? That I doubt. History has proven that people love to be in multiple SocNet’s, it’s become a part of their staple-online-diet. From Facebook to MSN-Chat, Twitter to Plurk, everyone is somewhere online. Even if they are talking with the same people and talking about the same stuff on each site!
What I truly question is Google’s motives: Do they anticipate large revenue in advertising space? Should users be expecting to be charged for the experience? There is no doubt that the Google share price will double overnight, but I have no doubt it will stabilise very shortly after.
Yet I do look forward to seeing where the Google wave carries us. As with all internet phenomenon, there are eddies, whirlpools, tsunami’s and sink-holes with every new software and web release. I wonder how easy it will be to surf the Google wave?